August

Buckle Up. It's Another Trump August.

Two out of the last three Trump Augusts have been incredible. They have been traumatic and somehow crazier than Trump’s crazy baseline. The madness begins tonight, with the airing of Trump’s interview with Axios reporter Jonathan Swan on HBO.

The scenario and the agenda seems to have been set by the news media in a traditional way. Reporters are writing that Trump has to turn things around before Labor Day, or he will lose the 2020 election. The history is clear. George W. Bush failed to turn things around in his summer of 1992. Jimmy Carter effectively lost support by the spring of 1980. Gerald Ford never had a chance in 1976.

Although Trump gets away with destroying rules and laws, I can’t see him winning re-election without cheating. So the news narrative is that Trump has to turn things around this month, right now. But there is more history at play, and it is Trump’s history. His track record in August is one of cascading disasters. We saw Charlottesville. We saw El Paso and Greenland. We also know that some of his crazy August behavior last year could be attributed to his knowledge that someone would file a complaint about his July 25 phone call with Ukraine president Volodymyr Zelensky.

Trump has to change his tone, but he won’t. He has to smile and soften his attitude. But he won’t. He has to be competent. But he never was. The game is up. Prepare for a meltdown this month. The really bad shit starts now. Yes, life has been terrible since February. I’m saying it’s about to get much worse. It’s August. It’s what August does.

It's August. Brace Yourselves.


Cartoon by the great Ted Rall. (Yes, I said great).

It is August, the month with a very bad rap. While I don't agree with all of his assessments, this article by David Plotz has become somewhat famous since it does sum-up a lot of reasons to dislike August (and it helps that Slate re-posted it in 2006). But what makes it worth reading each year for me is the context in which it was written. Look at the original date. Remember those times? Those were the days, right?

What were we talking about by the water cooler seven Augusts ago? We had a missing, white, female intern in Washington (what was her name again?). We had rumors that Bobby Fischer was resurfacing in Internet chat rooms. We were content with our economy, despite the dot-com bust. And according to our president, we lived under the false notion that the Atlantic and Pacific oceans protected us. But George W. Bush knew better. He was working hard to protect us from attack, right?

He was in Crawford, Texas all that month. But make no mistake, it was a working vacation. On August 6th, he was handed a Presidential Daily Briefing (PDB) that sprung him to action. It had an unmistakable warning in its title. What was the title, again? Anyone?

Dr. Rice, maybe you remember? You weren't there in Crawford, but you were the NSA Director. You might know.

Riiiiiiight. Bin laden Determined to Strike in US. Thank you for feigning the recall of that title, Doctor. Nice effect.

And George W. Bush applied his success in August 2001 to other crises that occurred in future Augusts. Like this one in late August 2005. Imagine the catastrophe that would have ensued had FEMA not recognized that the citizens of New Orleans were unable to evacuate, and that the levees were likely to break. Imagine that.

So sleep tight, America. There's no need to worry about our leaders. They are waking-up every morning with our safety and security as their top priority. They will protect us. I have no doubt.